Racing today is at Invercargill with 18 races spread across two meetings.

Just a couple of selections today which will likely be the theme of the next week or two until Addington is up and running again.

Good punting day

Recommended Bets 5 units

M3 Race 5 Epic Cruze (7) 1 unit FF win @ 3,80 Second

M3 Race 7 Homebush Archie (7) 2 units FF win @ 3.70 Missed.  Injury?

M9 Race 6 Elite Blueblood (7) 1 unit FF win @ 5.50 First 5.5 units returned

M9 Race 6 Elite Blueblood (7) 1 unit TOP3 @ 1.95 Yes 1.95 units returned.

After Archie missed – and that was tough to take – I was questioning whether I had got the approach right today.  I had put a lot more time into analysis for this course including developing another metric which has proved to be useful.  After Archie, it looked like it was going to be a tough day but we have Elite Blueblood’s long nose to thank for a profitable day. 5 units out and 7.45 units returned.

M3 Invercargill

Race 5 Epic Cruze (7)

While he lacks a bit of early speed, he should be helped in this race as there’s a lack of early speed all round with the exception of Mase in box 1 who looks the early leader.  Epic Cruze should be helped as the dog on his inside wants to head towards the rails while Epic Cruse should be suited by the wider draw.  He’s placed his last two times from closer in but in both times he’s struggled to get out a little wider.  He’s 2 wins from 4 starts here and his best time was actually a rating 68 when he was second to Troublesome Kev two starts back which isn’t a bad formline.

Confidence 1/5

Rated price 2.90 currently 3.80 (opened 4)

Second.  Just took too long to work into space. 

Race 7 Homebush Archie (7)

Archie makes to lead this and from the inside box that should give him a decent chance in this race.  His form here is a bit deceptive – he’s 2 places from 5 starts but the two places were from box 3 and the blots from out wider.  He actually has the best time recorded here and the improved draw should make the difference.

Confidence 2/5

Rated price 2.70 currently 3.70

Gee – that was a tough watch.  First, I hope the dog is OK.  Jumped ok, turbo on to a comfortable lead and about the time where we were counting the winnings Archie stopped on the spot and ran last.  There’s only one way to win a race but we can find new ways to lose them!

M9 Invercargill

Race 6 Elite Blueblood (2)

The start will be particularly critical in this race.  Elite Blueblood maps to lead and that could the winning of the race.  Homebush Fairy (1) wants away from the rail and hasn’t won in 16 races from the inside two boxes with just 3 places.  Homebush Jordie (4) has a decent record at Ascot but has a squeeze box and maps to get back.  Kipjo also has a good record at Ascot but not convinced the outside draw is where he wants to be.  With her early box speed and inside draw, Elite Blueblood looks a nice each way bet.

Confidence 1/5

Rated price 3.20 currently 5.50

Yes.  Yes.  Yes.  Nooooo!  Yes!! You never feel like you are owed a winner but it just hadn’t been our day so nice to get one.  Things went pretty much to the script although I expected Fairy to head wider but he almost got that first win from the inside.  Wasn’t to be and after a trying day or two we somehow managed to come out on top today.